Politically Speaking – March 10, 2020
Voters headed to the polls last Tuesday— Super Tuesday — involving 14 states in all. The southern states are mostly conservative. The main states were California and Texas. Others were Alabama, Maine, Massachusetts, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Colorado, Minnesota, Tennessee, Virginia, North Carolina and Vermont.
A week and a half ago Biden was in huge trouble. Then in South Carolina and on Super Tuesday there seemed to be a large surge. The African Americans led the charge, with others following.
I had to remind myself all evening this was a primary, not the general election. I also had to admit I would prefer to see Biden win over Sanders, not for any reason other than I’m 150% against Bernie Sanders. Socialism is the worst thing that could happen to America.
Early on Buttigieg, Klobuchar and Steyer dropped out, throwing their support behind Biden. Early on I said the Democrats would jump on Sanders if he did well, to make sure he wouldn’t make it. (The fix is in.) The last thing the DNC wants is Socialism. (That’s in my opinion.) Trust, it wouldn’t play out well for the party in time!
The candidates alive during Super Tuesday were: Biden, Sanders, Warren, Bloomberg, and Gabbard. And frankly, I’m more impressed with Gabbard than the rest of them put together.
The Democrats were clearly anxious for a front runner. Early on it looked like Joe Biden. The big prize was Texas and California. The early vote favored Sanders. But it changed as the moments ticked away, back and forth all evening. As usual, it can quickly switch, and so it did. By 9:00 p.m. I called the evening for Joe Biden, Sanders #2, and then Bloomberg. The magic number was 15% to get viability and collect delegates.
So who took what? The two biggest prizes were Texas and California. It was Texas: Biden; California: Sanders (as I predicted); Alabama: Biden; Tennessee: Biden; Minnesota: Biden; Vermont: Sanders (his home state), North Carolina: Biden; Virginia: Biden; Arkansas: Biden; Colorado: Sanders; Maine: Sanders; Massachusetts: Biden (Warren’s home state where she came in #3). Oklahoma; Biden; Utah: Sanders.
The biggest win for Bernie last Tuesday was California. In reality, Biden did better than was expected! Super Tuesday fueled Biden’s comeback.
Most think Biden is a good guy. Does that make him Presidential material today? No, not hardly.
And then, less than 12 hours later, one I didn’t see coming: Mike Bloomberg drops out! Then a day later, Warren drops out.
Below are my future predictions on states. New York: questionable; Pennsylvania: Biden; Florida: Biden; Illinois: Biden; Michigan: Biden. That’s not all the states but these are meaningful states as per delegates. Time will tell.
It will be interesting to see what’s next. Is the Party deserting a 78-year-old, flaming socialist for Joe Biden? The goal all the time and the next move is who’s going to be Joe Joe’s choice for Vice President? Could it be Barack Obama or Michelle? Could it be? Could it be? And remember, there are no term limits on Vice President. Scary!
Moving forward, the 2020 Michigan Democratic Primary is Tuesday, March 10. Bernie Sanders, the 2016 primary winner, must win and take away some of Joe Biden’s momentum.
Until next week.